Vantix · AI quant intelligence platform

An AI quant desk that
simulates every market —
and only acts on a proven edge.

It studies the market, waits for a real edge, and only then takes a position. A paper desk across equities, crypto, FX and sports — compounding since January. Watch it run below.

+25.09%
markets book · since Jan 1
4/4
market lanes green
−7.1%
worst drawdown
+62.30%
top lane · Equities
Review lane P&L
Honest by construction how every number on this page is measured — no exceptions
No lookaheaddecisions use only data that existed at the time
Costs & slippage modeledevery fill pays real commissions and spread
Dated, not retro-fitreplayed forward on real daily bars — never curve-fit after
Live lane P&L · paper/research only

Winning and losing lanes are visible before capital moves.

Each market lane runs as its own Jan-1 paper lab, so P&L, drawdown and daily movement stay explicit. Vantix adapts the paper strategy posture from market data, news/catalysts, predictions, regimes, analog/rhyme evidence, odds and MiroVantix forecasts; live execution remains owner-gated.

Combined lane labs +$54,019 +21.61% on $250,000 · $304,019 equity
EquitiesSINCE JAN 1
+$41,531
+62.30% return · $108,197 equity
$66,667 seed −$0 today -15.77% max DD
CryptoSINCE JAN 1
+$6,778
+10.17% return · $73,445 equity
$66,667 seed +$829 today -31.84% max DD
ForexLIVE
+$1,872
+2.81% return · $68,539 equity
$66,667 seed −$0 today -1.25% max DD
SportsACTIVE STRATEGY LANE
+$5,666
+11.33% return · $55,666 equity
$50,000 seed today -7.41% max DD
Autonomy loop activeTry to make money or minimize losses each day, then compound when evidence is favorable.
39Predictions120Market intel8Catalysts/news31Forward decisions52DK events80Sports recs40Miro insights
regime risk on · 31 long / 0 short · 29 MiroVantix-coveredlive execution gated
Live · free market data
One brain · every market

Five very different markets. One way of thinking about them.

Stocks, crypto, FX, sports and event markets each trade in their own venue with their own rules. Vantix scores them all through a single language of evidence, uncertainty, position size and risk — so the strongest opportunity wins no matter where it lives.

Equities

Market regime, breadth, factors and cross-sectional momentum turn the US market into ranked, comparable setups.

History · factors · momentum

Crypto

Round-the-clock momentum, funding rates and volatility shifts set each strategy's posture before it earns trust.

Momentum · funding · volatility

Forex & macro

Currency strength, carry and macro catalysts give MiroVantix a read on risk-on versus risk-off flows.

Macro · carry · regime

Sports & odds

Sports and event odds are priced as probabilities — fair line, edge and stake — with every bet manually approved.

Fair line · edge · stake

Events

Prediction markets let the same engine price real-world questions against Vantix's own probability view.

Events · probability · convergence

An intelligence loop, not another signal feed.

Six stages, one language — every market above runs through all six before any capital moves.
01
Learn

Start with market memory

Past regimes, price structure and strategy behavior set the baseline before any new opportunity is scored.

02
Prove

Make strategies earn trust

Backtests and walk-forward checks separate durable playbooks from patterns that only looked good once.

03
Stress

Break lucky backtests

Monte Carlo replays each strategy through thousands of alternate trade sequences to see if the edge survives.

04
Forecast

Map the likely paths

MiroVantix turns live conditions into a weighted forecast: downside breaks, flat zones and high-upside paths.

05
Adapt

Let strategies shift posture

Each strategy gains or loses trust as real outcomes update its confidence, risk budget and lane.

06
Compound

Act only when it's earned

Only approved plans compound the book — anything below the evidence bar is held or retired.

No black boxes · explainable allocation

You can see exactly how the desk is positioned — and why.

One adaptive book moves capital toward the lanes earning it and trims the ones that aren't. Here's the live read: today's market posture, the evidence feeding every decision, and where the money actually sits right now.

Market posture
Constructive · risk-on
31 long positions0 short29 under MiroVantix coverage
Feeding today's decisions
39model predictions120market-intel signals8catalysts watched31forward decisions40MiroVantix insights
Where capital sits now share of live paper equity · ranked
Equities 35.4% +62.30% −15.8% max drawdown
Sports 18.2% +11.33% −7.4% max drawdown
Crypto 24.0% +10.17% −31.8% max drawdown
Forex 22.4% +2.81% −1.3% max drawdown
What moves capital between lanes
  • RegimeRisk-on or risk-off sets how aggressive every lane is allowed to be.
  • Earned confidenceA lane only scales up after its recent calls actually pay off out-of-sample.
  • Drawdown & loss streakA lane that's bleeding or on a losing run is trimmed before it does more damage.
  • BreadthBroad, repeatable participation earns size — one-off spikes don't.
Execution gated · owner-approved before real money “Try to make money or minimize losses each day, then compound when evidence is favorable.”
The decision brain · Powell sequential-decision stack

Watch the desk reason — belief, policy, decision, ledger, catalysts.

Every cycle the desk runs the same pipeline: a regime belief (Hidden Markov Model) feeds an experts policy that re-weights strategies, a cross-lane decision envelope spreads capital, an honest ledger races all four decision styles net of real trading cost, and a catalyst layer reads how outside events (a war, a rate decision, an oil shock) tilt broad-industry baskets. Fit walk-forward, no lookahead, negative results logged instead of hidden.

live forward pick: Cost-Aware Rule
PFA · Policy-function rule

A fixed rule — no solve at decision time. Momentum top-decile: hold the strongest 10% of names and ride the trend. This is the rule that BUILT the realized equities book to +79.5% since Jan 1 — realized history stays on it; the forward sleeve now follows the current best-fit class.

CFA · Cost-function tuned · live forward pick

The same signal with a reshaped objective. Volatility-target sizing plus a de-risk gate that stops averaging into a confirmed downtrend — trades a little upside for a shallower drawdown.

VFA · Value-function learned

Learns each lane's forward value from its own realized results, then cuts losers and doubles winners. This is what drives the adaptive allocator and the evolving book.

DLA · Direct lookahead

Looks ahead by simulation — rolls thousands of Monte-Carlo forward paths before committing, then picks the branch with the best risk-adjusted outcome.

Funded sleeve · forward-onlyauto-checks noon & midnight ET

The equities sleeve now allocates on Top-7% momentum, risk-weighted, monthly (Cost-Aware Rule) from 2026-07-01 forward. Realized history stays on the deployed fixed rule — the switch only steers new capital, never restates the past.

What the stack decided this cycle
  • L1Regime belief: Risk-On — markets leaning into gains — calibrated confidence 59.6% (raw posterior 87.5% is overconfident by design); 1.7% chance of flipping next bar → switching rate α≈0.1392.
  • L2Experts policy: leaning Breakout volatility atr (15.64% wt); fixed-α net 1074.9% beat HMM-dynamic 905.25% → deploy fixed α=0.03.
  • L3Cross-lane envelope: best = Best risk-adjusted mix (max-Sharpe) (edge vs fixed -49.38%); return-blind min-var still parks 38% in forex (vol-only artifact), so return-aware max-Sharpe tilts 70% to equities as the decision-relevant allocation.
  • L4PFA ledger: headline Q0.07 momentum = +145.43% cost-free vs +85.94% net of 5.0bps (~48.111× turnover) → motivates CFA holding-band next.
  • L5All 4 policy classes now live head-to-head — champions: Simple Rule Buy-and-hold, equal weight (Sharpe 0.5), Cost-Aware Rule Top-7% momentum, risk-weighted, monthly (Sharpe 0.6), Learned-Value Learned momentum-rank value table (Sharpe 0.59), Look-Ahead Sim Monte-Carlo scenario picker (Sharpe 0.51); best overall = Cost-Aware Rule Top-7% momentum, risk-weighted, monthly (Sharpe 0.6). The funded equities sleeve now allocates FORWARD on Cost-Aware Rule Top-7% momentum, risk-weighted, monthly (the current best pick), re-checked at noon & midnight ET — realized history stays on the deployed Simple Rule, so the switch steers only new capital.
  • L6Regime-conditional fit: risk-on best-fit = Learned-Value Learned momentum-rank value table (Sharpe 2.09), risk-off best-fit = Learned-Value Learned momentum-rank value table (Sharpe -1.07); live regime = RISK ON → deploy best-fit Learned-Value Learned momentum-rank value table (in-regime Sharpe 2.09), forward-only & hysteresis-gated.
  • L7Catalyst tape: "Dollar strength (hawkish / safe-haven)" is in force (z=2.06) — favoring UUP over EEM, GLD, DBC; watch-only (no convincing forward edge yet). 8/13 playbook catalysts show a no-lookahead edge.
L1 · Belief · regime
Regime belief — Gaussian HMM
Risk-On — markets leaning into gains · 60% calibrated conf

Which regime we're in, and how likely it's about to flip. The raw 87.5% posterior is overconfident by design — a full-covariance HMM pins ~100% in any clean trend. The number that matters is the CALIBRATED 59.6%: how oft

L2 · Policy · experts
Strategy weights — full-information experts (Fixed-Share)
leaning Breakout volatility atr

Watches ALL strategies' P&L whether or not we allocate (exploration is free), then re-weights toward what's working with Fixed-Share so it can switch when the regime rotates. Honest winner this window is a STEADY α=0.03

L3 · Decision · envelope
Cross-lane envelope — fixed / IVP / MinVar / MaxSharpe / HRP
best: Best risk-adjusted mix (max-Sharpe) · return-aware 70% equities · 1y: +12.8%

Lanes are now each lane's own no-lookahead TREND STRATEGY (not passive beta), so the envelope allocates by how each strategy is performing lately. Decision-relevant allocation comes from a RETURN-AWARE envelope (max-Shar

L4 · Ledger · 4 policy classes
Policy-class ledger — Simple Rule / Cost-Aware / Learned-Value / Look-Ahead
headline: Top-7% momentum basket · best Top-7% momentum, risk-weighted, monthly (Cost-Aware Rule)

The honest head-to-head ledger of all four decision styles. Realized history was built on the Simple Rule (top-7% momentum); the funded equities sleeve now allocates FORWARD on the current best-fit class (re-checked at n

L5 · Catalysts · outside events
Catalysts & outside events — broad-industry ETF tilts
Dollar strength (hawkish / safe-haven) · 8/13 real edges

Plain-English playbook: an outside event (war, rate decision, oil shock, AI boom, crypto flight, dollar move) tilts simple broad-industry ETF baskets one way and another the other. We don't predict the news — we read the

The four decision styles — all live
CFA Cost Function Approximation live VFA Value Function Approximation live DLA Direct Lookahead Approximation live
paper / research · no-lookahead · surfacing-only — nothing here sizes, risks, or places an order.
Live forward prediction · Monte Carlo × MiroVantix

The forecast reads the whole market, then sizes the few paths that matter.

Monte Carlo simulates the full range of outcomes across every tracked instrument. MiroVantix is the live lens over that field: it discards stale paths, sharpens the highest-conviction ones into a single market-direction read, and turns that read into a sized trade plan.

12.5K
instruments tracked across global markets
436.87M
strategy × market tests run to date
989.8K
setups screened in the current cycle
182K
Monte Carlo paths this cycle
31 long · 0 short
current market read from the live engine
29
forecast lanes under live coverage

Full-market breadth right now: 812 names re-scored every cycle, 54% of them trading in an uptrend · 439 advancing vs 370 declining over 20 days · 281 buy-leaning vs 299 avoid.

Desk equity
$304,019
Combined paper equity, compounding since Jan 1.
Growth
+$54,019
Net paper gain over the starting bankroll.
Current diversity
35 / 24 / 22 / 18
Live capital split — equities / crypto / FX / sports.
Plan
Sizing
Direction, stake and lane allocation are prepared before real money moves.

Run the loop yourself.

Pick a lane and re-roll its futures — watch the Monte Carlo field collapse into a forward read and a gated size, live in your browser.
Equities · Monte Carlo cloud
MiroVantix · live forecast lens
Selected lane drives this runEquities are feeding the Monte Carlo cloud and MiroVantix read.
Lane history → Monte Carlo possibility field → MiroVantix forward read → sized plan
Equities · this lane right now
Lane budget$66,667 lane lab
Forecast coverage
Forecast mix
Model prob. up
Monte Carlo → MiroVantix read
Simulation shapeLive
Forward readTightening
Regime
Sizing stateReady

Request access to the Vantix intelligence desk.

Vantix is a private intelligence and simulation platform. Execution remains gated, owner-approved, and never presented as public financial advice.

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Four funded lanes + events watch Monte Carlo robustness on every candidate Approval-gated execution
Simulations, historical tests and scenario heat maps are decision-support tools. Past performance and simulated outcomes do not guarantee future results.